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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in December?
$10.2M vol.
70%
25 bps increase28%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$55.2M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1.2M vol.
70%
Yes31%
NoFed Decision in January?
$1.1M vol.
70%
No change25%
25 bps increaseHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$244.8K vol.
66%
4.90%44%
5.00%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$415.7K vol.
91%
Below 4.70%81%
Below 4.65%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$285.6K vol.
85%
5.40%76%
5.50%Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$116K vol.
64%
Pause-Hike-Pause14%
Pause-Pause-PauseHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$260.8K vol.
81%
Below 5.25%67%
Below 5.20%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$474.4K vol.
11%
December 31<1%
May 30How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$515.3K vol.
88%
Below 4.9%58%
Below 4.8%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
90%
July 2027 Meeting79%
April 2027 MeetingWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
71%
4.25%32%
4.0%How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$46.4K vol.
66%
017%
2How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$32.6K vol.
70%
4.75%76%
4.80%Fed Decision in March?
$61.6K vol.
50%
25 bps increase46%
No changeMichael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
$2.8K vol.
18%
Yes86%
NoHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1.1M vol.
31%
5.3%22%
5.4%How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$25.4K vol.
55%
023%
1Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$556.7K vol.
72%
Hike–Pause–Hike28%
Hike–Pause–PauseHow low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$30.6K vol.
89%
Below 4.50%79%
Below 4.40%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.9M vol.
72%
↑ 4.25%3%
↓ 3.25%Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$39.1K vol.
6%
December 31<1%
June 30Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
$33.9K vol.
16%
December 316%
November 30